Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bergamo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bergamo 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lorenzo Angelini		Giuseppe La Vela

	1	2
	2.35	1.5
	2.42	1.52
			Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.42	1.51	Watch
	2.09	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.83)	1.55 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Angelini
39.9%

Giuseppe La Vela
60.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Angelini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Angelini's form might have worsened.

Giuseppe La Vela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giuseppe La Vela's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Angelini than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Angelini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giuseppe La Vela than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giuseppe La Vela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lorenzo Angelini - Giuseppe La Vela Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. La Vela (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Angelini is ranked ATP: 1364. La Vela is ranked ATP: 919.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Angelini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Angelini
ITF Tournaments
24.06.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Lorenzo Angelini	1:2 ✺
04.06.25	Alec Beckley - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Lorenzo Angelini - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Leonardo Borrelli - Lorenzo Angelini	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Lorenzo Angelini - Facundo Juarez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWL
- Giuseppe La Vela
ITF Tournaments
24.06.25	Giuseppe La Vela - Giacomo Crisostomo	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Giuseppe La Vela - Radu Mihai Papoe	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Cezar Cretu - Giuseppe La Vela	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Giuseppe La Vela - Gabriele Crivellaro	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWL

Lorenzo Angelini - Giuseppe La Vela

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Angelini - Giuseppe La Vela Predictions

Preview

Form

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