Match Info

Date: 4 April 2022, Monday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Johan Nikles

	1	2
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	2	1.79	Watch
	1.91	1.77
	1.93	1.87
	2	1.72	Watch
	1.97	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.31)	1.78 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
47.4%

Johan Nikles
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Giustino's performance.

Johan Nikles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Johan Nikles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Giustino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Johan Nikles than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Johan Nikles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lorenzo Giustino - Johan Nikles Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Nikles will win (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giustino: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nikles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nikles could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nikles will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
29.03.22	Riccardo Bonadio - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
23.03.22	Duje Ajdukovic - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
22.03.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Zsombor Piros	2:1 ✺
15.03.22	Franco Agamenone - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
07.03.22	Carlos Taberner - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLL
- Johan Nikles
ATP Challenger
23.03.22	Johan Nikles - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
21.03.22	Johan Nikles - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Johan Nikles - Nicolas Villalon	1:2 ✺
04.03.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
03.03.22	Goncalo Oliveira - Johan Nikles	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLW

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