Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 4 (ITALY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday


	Lorenzo Rottoli		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	2.65	1.4
	2.85	1.38
	2.85	1.41
	3	1.36
	2.81	1.38	Watch
	2.75	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.19)	1.39 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Rottoli
33%

Lukas Neumayer
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Rottoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Rottoli's form might have worsened.

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Rottoli than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Rottoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lorenzo Rottoli - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rottoli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Neumayer is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neumayer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Neumayer will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Rottoli
ITF Tournaments
27.04.23	Lorenzo Rottoli - Carlo Alberto Fossati	2:0 ✺
26.04.23	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Lorenzo Rottoli	1:2 ✺
24.04.23	Florent Bax - Lorenzo Rottoli	0:2 ✺
20.04.23	Mathys Erhard - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
19.04.23	Luigi Sorrentino - Lorenzo Rottoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW
- Lukas Neumayer
ITF Tournaments
27.04.23	Lukas Neumayer - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
26.04.23	Lukas Neumayer - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Lukas Neumayer - Marco Furlanetto	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Lukas Neumayer - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
04.04.23	Lukas Neumayer - Rrezart Cungu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLL

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