Match Info

Date: 29 August 2022, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Lorenzo Sonego		Jordan Thompson

	1	2
	1.5	2.62	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.52	2.5
	1.54	2.5
	1.61	2.49
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.41)	2.46 ↓ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
61.3%

Jordan Thompson
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.

Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jordan Thompson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jordan Thompson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	0%	31%

Lorenzo Sonego - Jordan Thompson Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 20 - 69%). Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Sonego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sonego will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Maxime Cressy	1:2 ✺
23.08.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
14.08.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Bradley Klahn	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Lorenzo Sonego - John Millman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW
- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Challenger
26.08.22	Juncheng Shang - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
25.08.22	Justin Boulais - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
24.08.22	Liam Draxl - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
17.08.22	Jordan Thompson - Vasek Pospisil	1:2 ✺
16.08.22	Nicolas Jarry - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW

Lorenzo Sonego - Jordan Thompson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide