Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday


	Louisa Chirico		Petra Marcinko

	1	2
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	4.4	1.17
	4.46	1.18	Watch
	4.39	1.17	Watch
	4.5	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.25)	1.18 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisa Chirico
20.9%

Petra Marcinko
79.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisa Chirico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Louisa Chirico's form might have worsened.

Petra Marcinko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petra Marcinko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisa Chirico than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Louisa Chirico, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petra Marcinko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Louisa Chirico - Petra Marcinko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chirico is ranked WTA: 153. Marcinko is ranked WTA: 116.

Chirico has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marcinko is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Marcinko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marcinko is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chirico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisa Chirico
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Louisa Chirico - Fiona Crawley	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Louisa Chirico - Olivia Lincer	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Louisa Chirico - Kylie Collins	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Mary Stoiana - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Maria Kozyreva - Louisa Chirico	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW
- Petra Marcinko
ITF Tournaments
26.10.25	Petra Marcinko - Mary Stoiana	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Renata Zarazua - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Petra Marcinko - Eryn Cayetano	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Petra Marcinko - Victoria Hu	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Petra Marcinko - Ena Koike	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.10.24	Petra Marcinko - Louisa Chirico	1:2
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Louisa Chirico - Petra Marcinko	0:2

Louisa Chirico - Petra Marcinko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide