Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2024, Monday

Referee: Pelka M. (Pol)


	Louisa Chirico		Renata Zarazua

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	2.95	1.37	Watch
	3.23	1.35
	3.09	1.38	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.98	1.39	Watch
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.92)	1.38 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisa Chirico
31.3%

Renata Zarazua
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisa Chirico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Renata Zarazua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisa Chirico than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Louisa Chirico - Renata Zarazua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chirico is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zarazua is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zarazua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zarazua is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chirico won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisa Chirico
ITF Tournaments
03.07.24	Louisa Chirico - Alice Rame	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.24	Louisa Chirico - Antonia Ruzic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.06.24	Nadia Podoroska - Louisa Chirico	2:1 ✺
03.06.24	Louisa Chirico - Francisca Jorge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.05.24	Louisa Chirico - Kateryna Baindl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL
- Renata Zarazua
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.24	Renata Zarazua - Emma Raducanu	0:2 ✺
27.06.24	Renata Zarazua - McCartney Kessler	1:2 ✺
26.06.24	Renata Zarazua - Oksana Selekhmeteva	2:1 ✺
25.06.24	Renata Zarazua - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Robin Montgomery - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA San Diego
10.09.23	Renata Zarazua - Louisa Chirico	1:2

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