Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Chacabuco, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Lourdes Ayala		Valentina Mediorreal Arias

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.10	1.65
	2.15	1.72
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.12	1.70
	2.05	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.56)	1.68 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lourdes Ayala
44.5%

Valentina Mediorreal Arias
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lourdes Ayala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lourdes Ayala's performance.

Valentina Mediorreal Arias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valentina Mediorreal Arias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lourdes Ayala than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lourdes Ayala that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentina Mediorreal Arias than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valentina Mediorreal Arias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lourdes Ayala - Valentina Mediorreal Arias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ayala is ranked WTA: 995. Mediorreal Arias is ranked WTA: 898.

Ayala is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mediorreal Arias has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mediorreal Arias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lourdes Ayala
ITF Tournaments
29.07.26	Victoria Bosio - Lourdes Ayala	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Lourdes Ayala - Julia Konishi Camargo Silva	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Maria Paulina Perez Garcia - Lourdes Ayala	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Lourdes Ayala - Karla Bartel	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Natalia Sousa Salazar - Lourdes Ayala	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Valentina Mediorreal Arias
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Daria Egorova	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Polina Kaibekova	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Ana Candiotto	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Manuela Ferreira Banietti - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Chiara Di Genova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

Lourdes Ayala - Valentina Mediorreal Arias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide