Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sharm ElSheikh 4, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	Luca Castagnola		Faris Zakaryia

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.40	1.54
	2.36	1.50	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.36)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
40.8%

Faris Zakaryia
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Faris Zakaryia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Faris Zakaryia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Luca Castagnola - Faris Zakaryia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Castagnola is ranked ATP: 785., and Zakaryia is ranked ATP: 542..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Zakaryia holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Jan Hrazdil - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.09.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Matic Hribar - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Sebastian Sorger - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL
- Faris Zakaryia
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Andriy Poritskyy - Faris Zakaryia	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Faris Zakaryia - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Arda Azkara - Faris Zakaryia	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Mert Naci Turker - Faris Zakaryia	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Alex Knaff - Faris Zakaryia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWL

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