Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Referee: Eger R. (Ita)


	Luca Castagnola		Gabriele Piraino

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.5
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.45	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.54	Watch
	2.34	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.34)	1.53 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
39.1%

Gabriele Piraino
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Gabriele Piraino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Piraino than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Luca Castagnola - Gabriele Piraino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Castagnola is ranked ATP: 629. Piraino is ranked ATP: 479.

Recent matches Castagnola is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Piraino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castagnola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Piraino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castagnola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
30.07.24	Luca Castagnola - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
23.07.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Bor Artnak - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
12.07.24	Luca Castagnola - Filip Jeff Planinsek	2:1 ✺
11.07.24	Luca Castagnola - Volodymyr Iakubenko	Castagnola L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLW?
- Gabriele Piraino
ATP Challenger
28.07.24	Gabriele Piraino - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
16.07.24	Gabriele Piraino - Steven Diez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.24	Stefano DAgostino - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
09.07.24	Ezequiel Simonit - Gabriele Piraino	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.07.24	Gabriele Piraino - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.09.23	Luca Castagnola - Gabriele Piraino	2:1
ITF Tournaments
26.08.22	Luca Castagnola - Gabriele Piraino	1:2

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