Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 monastir 42 (Tunisia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday


	Luca Castagnola		Inaki Montes De La Torre

	1	2
	3.2	1.28
	3.3	1.27
	3.34	1.28	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.32	1.29	Watch
	3.3	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.99)	1.28 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
27.8%

Inaki Montes De La Torre
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Inaki Montes De La Torre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inaki Montes De La Torre than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inaki Montes De La Torre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luca Castagnola - Inaki Montes De La Torre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Castagnola is ranked ATP: 714. Montes De La Torre is ranked ATP: 641.

Castagnola is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montes De La Torre is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Castagnola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Montes De La Torre is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Montes De La Torre to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
03.10.24	Luca Castagnola - Ludovico Vaccari	0:2 ✺
02.10.24	Luca Castagnola - Joe Leather	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Luca Castagnola - Matthew Summers	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.09.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.24	Ezequiel Simonit - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Inaki Montes De La Torre
ITF Tournaments
12.10.24	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Matthew Dellavedova	Montes-De La Torre I. retired ✺
12.10.24	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Albert Pedrico Kravtsov	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Manel Lazaro Juncadella	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Albert Pedrico Kravtsov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WWWL

Luca Castagnola - Inaki Montes De La Torre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide