Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maputo (Mozambique), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday


	Luca Castelnuovo		Alec Beckley

	1	2
	2.35	1.5
	2.48	1.46
	2.49	1.51
	2.51	1.47	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.59	1.45	Watch
	2.48	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.59)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castelnuovo
37%

Alec Beckley
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Alec Beckley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alec Beckley than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Preview

Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 796. Beckley is ranked ATP: 606.

Castelnuovo in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Beckley is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Beckley will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Castelnuovo to win the game is with odds 2.59.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
07.11.24	Luca Castelnuovo - Daniel Domingos	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Luca Castelnuovo - Ethan Terblanche	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Luca Castelnuovo - Chirag Duhan	Canceled ✺
24.10.24	Luca Castelnuovo - Tom Gentzsch	Castelnuovo L. retired ✺
23.10.24	Luca Castelnuovo - Ivan Gretskiy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WW??W
- Alec Beckley
ITF Tournaments
07.11.24	Kacper Szymkowiak - Alec Beckley	Beckley A. walkover ✺
05.11.24	Alexey Aleshchev - Alec Beckley	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.10.24	Alec Beckley - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Quinn Vandecasteele - Alec Beckley	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.24	Alec Beckley - Sebastian Prechtel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 ?WL?L

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