Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kayseri (Turkey), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Luca Castelnuovo		Aleksandr Braynin

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.84	1.83
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.84	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 (1.84)	1.84 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castelnuovo
50%

Aleksandr Braynin
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Aleksandr Braynin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandr Braynin than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Luca Castelnuovo - Aleksandr Braynin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 814. Braynin is ranked ATP: 921.

Castelnuovo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Braynin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Braynin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
18.10.24	Luca Castelnuovo - Samuel Heredia	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Savva Polukhin - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Tianhui Zhang - Luca Castelnuovo	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Luca Castelnuovo - Yeongseok Jeong	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Weitao Xu - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWW
- Aleksandr Braynin
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Aleksandr Braynin - Sebastian Gima	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Matthew Summers - Aleksandr Braynin	0:2 ✺
02.10.24	Aleksandr Braynin - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Aleksandr Braynin - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Niklas Schell - Aleksandr Braynin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLW

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