Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MAIA (PORTUGAL), CLAY (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 30 November 2022, Wednesday


	Luca Van Assche		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.93	1.84
	1.9	1.87
	1.91	1.91
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.88	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.08)	1.85 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
49.5%

Elias Ymer
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Van Assche's performance.

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elias Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Van Assche that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elias Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Luca Van Assche - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Van Assche will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.51% – 98.83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van Assche is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ymer is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ymer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Van Assche won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
27.11.22	Oleksii Krutykh - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
25.11.22	Javier Barranco Cosano - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
23.11.22	Luca Van Assche - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
21.11.22	Andrea Collarini - Luca Van Assche	Collarini A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWW??
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
22.11.22	Stefano Travaglia - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
16.11.22	Maximilian Marterer - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
20.10.22	Francis Tiafoe - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
19.10.22	Oscar Otte - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.22	Elias Ymer - Ramkumar Ramanathan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.08.22	Luca Van Assche - Elias Ymer	2:1
30.08.21	Luca Van Assche - Elias Ymer	2:0

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