Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Lucas Bouquet		Justin Engel

	1	2
			Watch
	3	1.33	Watch
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	3.06	1.35	Watch
	3.1	1.34	Watch
	3.05	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.61)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Bouquet
30.4%

Justin Engel
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Bouquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucas Bouquet's form might have worsened.

Justin Engel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Justin Engel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Bouquet than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Bouquet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justin Engel than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Justin Engel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lucas Bouquet - Justin Engel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bouquet is ranked ATP: 504. Engel is ranked ATP: 350.

Recent matches Bouquet is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Engel is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Engel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bouquet won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Bouquet
ITF Tournaments
19.02.25	Lucas Bouquet - Taha Baadi	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Lucas Bouquet	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Lucas Bouquet	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Jack Kennedy - Lucas Bouquet	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Miguel Tobon - Lucas Bouquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWW
- Justin Engel
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Justin Engel - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Michael Geerts - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Andre Ilagan - Justin Engel	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Justin Engel - Alberto Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Justin Engel - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
31.08.24	Lucas Bouquet - Justin Engel	1:2

Lucas Bouquet - Justin Engel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide