Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SZCZECIN (POLAND), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 September 2023, Tuesday


	Lucas Gerch		Andrew Paulson

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.73
	2.13	1.75
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.18	1.63	Watch
	2.01	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.84)	1.71 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Gerch
45.4%

Andrew Paulson
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Gerch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucas Gerch's form might have worsened.

Andrew Paulson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrew Paulson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Gerch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrew Paulson than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrew Paulson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Lucas Gerch - Andrew Paulson Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gerch will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Paulson will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gerch is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paulson is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gerch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Gerch
ATP Challenger
11.09.23	Lucas Gerch - Miljan Zekic	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Federico Delbonis - Lucas Gerch	Delbonis F. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.09.23	Oliver Crawford - Lucas Gerch	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Lucas Gerch - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
01.09.23	Dax Donders - Lucas Gerch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 W?WWW
- Andrew Paulson
ATP Challenger
11.09.23	Steven Diez - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
10.09.23	Marvin Moeller - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.23	Daniel Siniakov - Andrew Paulson	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.08.23	Valentin Vacherot - Andrew Paulson	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Andrew Paulson - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW

Lucas Gerch - Andrew Paulson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide