Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHAMPAIGN (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2022, Tuesday


	Lucas Gerch		Nick Chappell

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.32	3.3
	1.33	3.35
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.31	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.44)	3.34 ↑ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Gerch
71.9%

Nick Chappell
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Gerch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucas Gerch's performance.

Nick Chappell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nick Chappell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nick Chappell than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lucas Gerch - Nick Chappell Predictions

Users Predictions: Lucas Gerch will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Gerch is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chappell is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chappell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gerch is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gerch won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Gerch
ATP Challenger
11.11.22	Christopher Eubanks - Lucas Gerch	2:0 ✺
09.11.22	Paul Jubb - Lucas Gerch	1:2 ✺
07.11.22	Lucas Gerch - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
04.11.22	Ben Shelton - Lucas Gerch	2:0 ✺
03.11.22	Lucas Gerch - Stefan Kozlov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWWLW
- Nick Chappell
ATP Challenger
07.11.22	Nick Chappell - Dominik Koepfer	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Nick Chappell - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Nick Chappell - Simon Carr	0:2 ✺
05.10.22	Nick Chappell - Mitchell Krueger	1:2 ✺
04.10.22	Nick Chappell - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.02.22	Nick Chappell - Lucas Gerch	0:2

Lucas Gerch - Nick Chappell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide