Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday


	Lucas Miedler		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.8	1.22
	4	1.23	Watch
	3.75	1.21
	4.64	1.2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.95	1.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (2.95)	1.23 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Miedler
23.5%

Jozef Kovalik
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Miedler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucas Miedler's form might have worsened.

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jozef Kovalik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Miedler than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Miedler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Lucas Miedler - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Miedler will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Kovalik will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kovalik: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Miedler
ATP Challenger
27.08.21	Lucas Miedler - Szymon Kielan	2:0 ✺
25.08.21	Duje Ajdukovic - Lucas Miedler	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.08.21	Lucas Miedler - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
18.08.21	Lucas Miedler - Aldin Setkic	2:0 ✺
17.08.21	Lucas Miedler - Dominique Graf	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWW
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
27.08.21	Evan Furness - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
25.08.21	Johan Nikles - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
29.07.21	Jozef Kovalik - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
28.07.21	Jozef Kovalik - Jiri Vesely	2:1 ✺
26.07.21	Jaume Munar - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLWW

Lucas Miedler - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide