Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marseille (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Marseille (France) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Lucas Pouille		Benjamin Bonzi

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Lucas Pouille
38.5%

Benjamin Bonzi
61.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Pouille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Nishikori is ranked ATP: 70. McDonald is ranked ATP: 130.

Two players are playing changeable.

McDonald could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nishikori will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nishikori won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Pouille
ATP Challenger
09.02.25	Arthur Bouquier - Lucas Pouille	Pouille L. retired ✺
08.02.25	Lucas Pouille - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Alexander Blockx - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Hugo Grenier - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
03.02.25	Clement Chidekh - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 ?WWWW
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
06.02.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Arthur Bouquier	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Jiri Lehecka - Benjamin Bonzi	3:0 ✺
14.01.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Francesco Passaro	3:1 ✺
13.01.25	David Goffin - Benjamin Bonzi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW

ATP Challenger
20.10.24	Lucas Pouille - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2
12.09.21	Benjamin Bonzi - Lucas Pouille	2:0
ATP Montpellier
23.02.21	Lucas Pouille - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2

Lucas Pouille - Benjamin Bonzi