Match Info

Date: 5 October 2021, Tuesday


	Lucas Pouille		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.3	3.3	Watch
	1.28	3.2
	1.32	3.48
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.21	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.58)	3.43 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Pouille
72.7%

Elias Ymer
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Pouille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucas Pouille's performance.

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elias Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Pouille that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elias Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	0%	14.6%

Lucas Pouille - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: Lucas Pouille will win (35 of 41 users predict this - 85.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.55% – 96.19%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pouille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pouille will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pouille won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Pouille
ATP Challenger
30.09.21	Lucas Pouille - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
28.09.21	Elias Ymer - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
ATP Metz
23.09.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Lucas Pouille	2:0 ✺
22.09.21	Lucas Pouille - Brayden Schnur	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.09.21	Lucas Pouille - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
28.09.21	Elias Ymer - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
ATP Astana
21.09.21	Elias Ymer - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
20.09.21	Maxime Cressy - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	Grigoriy Lomakin - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.21	Elias Ymer - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.09.21	Elias Ymer - Lucas Pouille	1:2
09.09.21	Lucas Pouille - Elias Ymer	2:0

Lucas Pouille - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide