Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 CARNAC (FRANCE), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 June 2023, Friday


	Lucas Poullain		Mathias Bourgue

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.25	1.57
	2.27	1.61
	2.25	1.57
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.24	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.38)	1.58 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain
41.5%

Mathias Bourgue
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Poullain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mathias Bourgue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucas Poullain - Mathias Bourgue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Bourgue will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Bourgue to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Poullain won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
01.06.23	Titouan Droguet - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
31.05.23	Leo Raquillet - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
30.05.23	Mikalai Haliak - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
20.05.23	Mirza Basic - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
19.05.23	Admir Kalender - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW
- Mathias Bourgue
ITF Tournaments
01.06.23	Mathias Bourgue - Timo Legout	Legout T. retired ✺
31.05.23	Mathias Bourgue - Amaury Raynel	2:1 ✺
30.05.23	Mathias Bourgue - William Jucha	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.05.23	Mate Valkusz - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
21.05.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.10.22	Mathias Bourgue - Lucas Poullain	2:1

Lucas Poullain - Mathias Bourgue: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide