Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W60 MADRID (SPAIN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 June 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: MADRID (SPAIN) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lucia Peyre		Sakura Hosogi

	1	2
	2.1	1.62
	2.23	1.61
	2.25	1.57
	1.81	1.9	Watch
	2.06	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.94)	1.67 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucia Peyre
44.4%

Sakura Hosogi
55.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucia Peyre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucia Peyre's performance.

Sakura Hosogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sakura Hosogi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Peyre than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucia Peyre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakura Hosogi than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sakura Hosogi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Hosogi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucia Peyre
ITF Tournaments
13.06.23	Lucia Peyre - Tianmi Mi	2:0 ✺
09.06.23	Lucia Peyre - Zongyu Li	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Evialina Laskevich - Lucia Peyre	0:2 ✺
03.06.23	Lucia Peyre - Alexandra Eala	1:2 ✺
02.06.23	Katarina Kozarov - Lucia Peyre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLW
- Sakura Hosogi
ITF Tournaments
11.06.23	Makenna Jones - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	Katarina Stresnakova - Sakura Hosogi	Stresnakova K. retired ✺
09.06.23	Marina Benito - Sakura Hosogi	0:2 ✺
06.06.23	Ruth Roura Llaverias - Sakura Hosogi	0:2 ✺
01.06.23	Sakura Hosogi - Valentina Ryser	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 L?WWL

Lucia Peyre - Sakura Hosogi

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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