Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Madrid (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 June 2024, Friday


	Lucie Nguyen Tan		Ella McDonald

	1	2
	2.6	1.42
	2.55	1.43
	2.62	1.44
	2.65	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.59)	1.43 (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucie Nguyen Tan
35.6%

Ella McDonald
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucie Nguyen Tan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Ella McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucie Nguyen Tan than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Lucie Nguyen Tan - Ella McDonald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Nguyen Tan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

McDonald is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nguyen Tan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

McDonald will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's McDonald to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucie Nguyen Tan
ITF Tournaments
06.06.24	Lucie Nguyen Tan - Tian Jialin	2:0 ✺
05.06.24	Lucie Nguyen Tan - Raquel Gonzalez Vilar	2:1 ✺
14.05.24	Jenny Duerst - Lucie Nguyen Tan	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Holly Hutchinson - Lucie Nguyen Tan	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Lucie Nguyen Tan - Mika Stojsavljevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWL
- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
06.06.24	Ella McDonald - Luiza Fullana	2:0 ✺
05.06.24	Ella McDonald - Eva Alvarez Sande	2:0 ✺
31.05.24	Ella McDonald - Daria Frayman	0:2 ✺
30.05.24	Patricija Paukstyte - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
29.05.24	Jiaying He - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

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