Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Casablanca, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 June 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Casablanca 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lucio Ratti		Juan Bautista Otegui

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Lucio Ratti
43.7%

Juan Bautista Otegui
56.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucio Ratti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Juan Bautista Otegui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucio Ratti than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Bautista Otegui than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

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Ratti is ranked ATP: 1267. Otegui is ranked ATP: 1101.

In recent matches, Ratti has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Otegui is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Otegui may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Otegui will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucio Ratti
ITF Tournaments
19.06.25	Lucio Ratti - Younes Lalami Laaroussi	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Mariano Tammaro - Lucio Ratti	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Lucio Ratti - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Lucio Ratti	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.05.25	Nikola Basic - Lucio Ratti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLWL
- Juan Bautista Otegui
ITF Tournaments
19.06.25	Juan Bautista Otegui - Andreas Timini	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Francesco Ferrari - Juan Bautista Otegui	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Juan Bautista Otegui - Georgii Kravchenko	2:1 ✺
03.06.25	Marc Majdandzic - Juan Bautista Otegui	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Daniel Verbeek - Juan Bautista Otegui	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWL

Lucio Ratti - Juan Bautista Otegui