Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 BIELLA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 July 2023, Tuesday


	Luigi Sorrentino		Filippo Speziali

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.85	1.85
	1.71	2.05
	1.83	1.83
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.78	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)	1.93 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luigi Sorrentino
52.2%

Filippo Speziali
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luigi Sorrentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Filippo Speziali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luigi Sorrentino than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luigi Sorrentino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filippo Speziali than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filippo Speziali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Sorrentino is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Speziali is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Speziali could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luigi Sorrentino
ITF Tournaments
27.06.23	Gabriele Maria Noce - Luigi Sorrentino	2:0 ✺
14.06.23	Mateo Barreiros Reyes - Luigi Sorrentino	2:0 ✺
08.06.23	Luigi Sorrentino - Filippo Moroni	0:2 ✺
07.06.23	Adam Moundir - Luigi Sorrentino	0:2 ✺
31.05.23	Luigi Sorrentino - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL
- Filippo Speziali
ITF Tournaments
28.06.23	Valerio Aboian - Filippo Speziali	2:0 ✺
21.06.23	Filippo Speziali - Vlad Andrei Dancu	1:2 ✺
20.06.23	Stefan Adrian Andreescu - Filippo Speziali	0:2 ✺
17.06.23	Filippo Speziali - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
16.06.23	Riccardo Balzerani - Filippo Speziali	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW

Luigi Sorrentino - Filippo Speziali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide