Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes		Eero Vasa

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.91)	1.82 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
49.3%

Eero Vasa
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Eero Vasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eero Vasa than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Alvarez Valdes is ranked ATP: 933., and Vasa is ranked ATP: 445..

Recent results have been tough for Alvarez Valdes (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Vasa is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Alvarez Valdes may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Vasa in today's match, at odds of 1.82.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Eero Vasa - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.48%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
ITF Tournaments
06.10.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Svyatoslav Gulin	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.08.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Karl Poling	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Max Sheldon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Eero Vasa
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Eero Vasa - Samir Banerjee	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Eero Vasa - Wojciech Marek	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Eero Vasa - Kenzo Koistila Larsson	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Eero Vasa - Sizya Ernest Kivanda	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Eero Vasa - Lucas Catarina	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWW?

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Eero Vasa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide