Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 13, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes		Giorgio Tabacco

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.75
	1.89	1.81
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.99	1.8
	1.88	1.76	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.83)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
48.8%

Giorgio Tabacco
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Giorgio Tabacco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giorgio Tabacco than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giorgio Tabacco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Giorgio Tabacco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alvarez Valdes is ranked ATP: 933., and Tabacco is ranked ATP: 700..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Alvarez Valdes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Svyatoslav Gulin	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.08.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Karl Poling	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Max Sheldon	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Tyler Bowers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWW
- Giorgio Tabacco
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Petr Nesterov - Giorgio Tabacco	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Finn Murgett	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Giorgio Tabacco - John Echeverria	Echeverria J. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWL?

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Giorgio Tabacco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide