Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday


	Luka Pavlovic		Taro Daniel

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.48	2.42	Watch
			Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.48	Watch
	1.48	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.62)	2.48 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Pavlovic
62.5%

Taro Daniel
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luka Pavlovic's performance.

Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taro Daniel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luka Pavlovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taro Daniel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Luka Pavlovic - Taro Daniel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pavlovic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Luka Pavlovic will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 209. Daniel is ranked ATP: 153.

In recent matches, Pavlovic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Daniel is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pavlovic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
27.05.25	Luka Pavlovic - Luca Castagnola	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Luka Pavlovic - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
15.05.25	Luka Pavlovic - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLW
- Taro Daniel
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Alex Marti Pujolras - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Taro Daniel - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Taro Daniel - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL

Luka Pavlovic - Taro Daniel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide