Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Szabolcsveresmart, hard

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Szabolcsveresmart 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lukas Pokorny		Arvid Nordquist

	1	2
	1.30	3.10
	1.28	3.30
	1.31	3.07	Watch
	1.36	2.95
	1.33	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.55)	3.07 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Pokorny
70%

Arvid Nordquist
30%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Pokorny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Pokorny's performance.

Arvid Nordquist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arvid Nordquist might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Pokorny that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arvid Nordquist than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arvid Nordquist could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Pokorny is ranked ATP: 565., and Nordquist is ranked ATP: 679..

Pokorny is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nordquist is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Pokorny may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pokorny holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Pokorny
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Lukas Pokorny - Vardan Manukyan	Manukyan V. Retired ✺
15.10.26	Lukas Pokorny - Aleksander Chayka	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Lukas Pokorny - Alex Kobelt	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Radu David Turcanu - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Valentin Vanta - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?WWLW
- Arvid Nordquist
ITF Tournaments
15.10.26	Arvid Nordquist - Jan Hrazdil	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Arvid Nordquist - Noah Thurner	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Digvijay Pratap Singh - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Dmitry Dolzhenkov - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Arvid Nordquist - Millen Hurrion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

Lukas Pokorny - Arvid Nordquist: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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