Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday


	Lukas Pokorny		Neil Oberleitner

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.21	Watch
	1.65	2.22
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.66	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)	2.18 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Pokorny
57.4%

Neil Oberleitner
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Pokorny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Pokorny's performance.

Neil Oberleitner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neil Oberleitner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Pokorny that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neil Oberleitner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Lukas Pokorny - Neil Oberleitner Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pokorny will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Oberleitner will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pokorny: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Pokorny (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Neil Oberleitner will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pokorny (votes: 1 - 20%). Oberleitner (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pokorny is ranked ATP: 522. Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 424.

Pokorny is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Oberleitner has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pokorny may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Pokorny will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pokorny won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Pokorny - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.58%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Neil Oberleitner - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.42%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Pokorny
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Saba Purtseladze - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.01.26	Lukas Pokorny - Florian Broska	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Garrett Johns - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Maxim Shin - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Andrea Colombo - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWW
- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Radu Albot - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Yi Zhou - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Neil Oberleitner	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Neil Oberleitner - Sanhui Shin	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Timofey Skatov - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.08.22	Neil Oberleitner - Lukas Pokorny	1:2

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