Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SURBITON (UNITED KINGDOM) - QUALIFICATION, GRASS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday


	Luke Saville		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	3
	1.34	3.18
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.34	3.06	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.52)	3.09 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Saville
69.8%

Nicolas Mejia
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Saville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luke Saville's performance.

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Mejia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Saville than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luke Saville that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Mejia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Saville is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mejia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mejia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Saville will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Saville
ATP Challenger
09.05.23	Luke Saville - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
08.05.23	Richard Berankis - Luke Saville	0:2 ✺
08.05.23	Woobin Shin - Luke Saville	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	Keisuke Saitoh - Luke Saville	0:2 ✺
05.05.23	Max Purcell - Luke Saville	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWL
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Federico Delbonis - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Borna Gojo - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
16.05.23	Nicolas Mejia - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
14.05.23	Nicolas Mejia - Yanki Erel	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Mejia	✺

Luke Saville - Nicolas Mejia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide