Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Monterrey (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub
France	beIN Sports France 3
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, Sportklub


	Lulu Sun		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.37	3.05
	1.36	3.38
	1.37	3.21	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.36	3.19	Watch
	1.37	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.49)	3.14 ↑ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lulu Sun
69.6%

Maria Lourdes Carle
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lulu Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lulu Sun's performance.

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Lourdes Carle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lulu Sun than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Lulu Sun - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Users Predictions: Lulu Sun will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked WTA: 57. Carle is ranked WTA: 86.

Sun is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Carle is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sun is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lulu Sun
WTA Monterrey
19.08.24	Chloe Paquet - Lulu Sun	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
14.08.24	Lulu Sun - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Lulu Sun - Linda Noskova	2:0 ✺
12.08.24	Lulu Sun - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	Lulu Sun - Shelby Rogers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Monterrey
19.08.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Veronika Kudermetova	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - En Shuo Liang	1:2 ✺
WTA Olympic Games
29.07.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
WTA Iasi
22.07.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Chloe Paquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWL

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