Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday


	Lulu Sun		Mary Stoiana

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.70	2.10
	1.68	2.07
	1.76	2.17
	1.61	2.21	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	3.87	1.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.83)	1.99 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lulu Sun
49.9%

Mary Stoiana
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lulu Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Mary Stoiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lulu Sun than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lulu Sun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mary Stoiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Lulu Sun - Mary Stoiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sun will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Stoiana will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked WTA: 110. Stoiana is ranked WTA: 142.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Stoiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Lulu Sun - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.26%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lulu Sun
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Lulu Sun - Ella McDonald	2:1 ✺
02.06.26	Mary Stoiana - Lulu Sun	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
22.05.26	Lulu Sun - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Lulu Sun - Aoi Ito	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Lulu Sun - Yexin Ma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW
- Mary Stoiana
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Kayla Day - Mary Stoiana	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Rebeka Masarova - Mary Stoiana	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Celine Naef - Mary Stoiana	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Mary Stoiana - Lulu Sun	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
21.05.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Mary Stoiana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.06.26	Mary Stoiana - Lulu Sun	2:1

Lulu Sun - Mary Stoiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide