Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Monastir 4, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Lya Fernandez		Luciana Moyano

	1	2
			Watch
	2.43	1.49
	2.77	1.45
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.63	1.4
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.42)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lya Fernandez
35.5%

Luciana Moyano
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lya Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Luciana Moyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lya Fernandez than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lya Fernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciana Moyano than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciana Moyano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lya Fernandez - Luciana Moyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fernandez is ranked WTA: 1379. Moyano is ranked WTA: 625.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Fernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moyano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lya Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
05.05.26	Anna Kmiecik - Lya Fernandez	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Laia Petretic - Lya Fernandez	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Lya Fernandez - Clarissa Blomqvist	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Carolina Alves - Lya Fernandez	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Jessica Hinojosa Gomez - Lya Fernandez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLL
- Luciana Moyano
ITF Tournaments
06.05.26	Anna Shkutova - Luciana Moyano	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Laia Petretic - Luciana Moyano	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Serife Pelin Sari - Luciana Moyano	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Benedetta Ortenzi - Luciana Moyano	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Luciana Moyano - Viola Turini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL

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