Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Gdansk, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 June 2025, Friday


	Madelief Hageman		Ania Hertel

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.8	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madelief Hageman
51.2%

Ania Hertel
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madelief Hageman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ania Hertel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madelief Hageman than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ania Hertel than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

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Preview

Hageman is ranked WTA: 859. Hertel is ranked WTA: 724.

Hageman has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hertel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hertel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Ania Hertel - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madelief Hageman
ITF Tournaments
12.06.25	Annemarie Lazar - Madelief Hageman	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Madelief Hageman - Anna Kmiecik	2:1 ✺
05.06.25	Madelief Hageman - Ioana Teodora Sava	1:2 ✺
05.06.25	Madelief Hageman - Paula Ormaechea	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Madelief Hageman - Nadia Kulbiej	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL
- Ania Hertel
ITF Tournaments
12.06.25	Magdalena Baniak - Ania Hertel	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Claudia Hoste Ferrer - Ania Hertel	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Eszter Meri - Ania Hertel	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Ania Hertel - Carolyn Ansari	2:1 ✺
05.06.25	Ania Hertel - Luise Reisel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW

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