Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 38 (Tunisia), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Madelief Hageman		Arabella Koller

	1	2
	3.9	1.2
	4.1	1.18
	4.18	1.19	Watch
	4.33	1.2
	4.23	1.19	Watch
	4.1	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (2.75)	1.19 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madelief Hageman
22.3%

Arabella Koller
77.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madelief Hageman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Madelief Hageman's form might have worsened.

Arabella Koller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arabella Koller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madelief Hageman than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Madelief Hageman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arabella Koller than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arabella Koller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Madelief Hageman - Arabella Koller Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hageman is ranked WTA: 966. Koller is ranked WTA: 677.

Recent matches Hageman is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Koller is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hageman could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Koller will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Koller to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madelief Hageman
ITF Tournaments
03.10.24	Jordyn McBride - Madelief Hageman	1:2 ✺
02.10.24	Madelief Hageman - Anastasia Mozgaleva	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	Madelief Hageman - Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez	0:2 ✺
03.09.24	Karolina Kozakova - Madelief Hageman	2:0 ✺
22.08.24	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Madelief Hageman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLL
- Arabella Koller
ITF Tournaments
03.10.24	Daria Yesypchuk - Arabella Koller	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Nina Radovanovic - Arabella Koller	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Arabella Koller - Camilla Zanolini	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Arabella Koller - Gina Marie Dittmann	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Arabella Koller - Viola Turini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

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