Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Oegstgeest, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Madelief Hageman		Polina Bakhmutkina

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	1.68	2.12	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	1.68	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.24)	1.88 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madelief Hageman
50%

Polina Bakhmutkina
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madelief Hageman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madelief Hageman's performance.

Polina Bakhmutkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polina Bakhmutkina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madelief Hageman than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madelief Hageman that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polina Bakhmutkina than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polina Bakhmutkina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Madelief Hageman - Polina Bakhmutkina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hageman (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hageman is ranked WTA: 841. Bakhmutkina is ranked WTA: 1279.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Hageman could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madelief Hageman
ITF Tournaments
29.04.25	Warda Ait el Bachir - Madelief Hageman	Ait el Bachir W. retired ✺
09.04.25	Madelief Hageman - Weronika Ewald	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Madelief Hageman - Rinon Okuwaki	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Madelief Hageman - Elena Grekul	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Madelief Hageman - Carolyn Ansari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?LWWL
- Polina Bakhmutkina
ITF Tournaments
30.04.25	Polina Bakhmutkina - Anouck Vrancken Peeters	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Polina Bakhmutkina - Vaishnavi Adkar	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Polina Bakhmutkina - Oana Georgeta Simion	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Nina Andronicou - Polina Bakhmutkina	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Polina Bakhmutkina - Stefania Bojica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLLWL

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