Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday


	Madison Keys		Caty McNally

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.6
	1.27	3.58	Watch
	1.3	3.84
	1.30	3.41	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.3	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)	3.62 ↑ (3.46)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
73.7%

Caty McNally
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Caty McNally has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madison Keys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caty McNally than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caty McNally could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Madison Keys - Caty McNally Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). McNally will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5 Games - McNally (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5 Games - Keys (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Keys (votes: 2 - 66.7%). McNally (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 8. McNally is ranked WTA: 116.

Keys has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

McNally is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

McNally may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Keys is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Montreal
30.07.25	Madison Keys - Laura Siegemund	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
04.07.25	Laura Siegemund - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Olga Danilovic - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
WTA Berlin
17.06.25	Marketa Vondrousova - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL
- Caty McNally
WTA Montreal
30.07.25	Caty McNally - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Alycia Parks - Caty McNally	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.07.25	Caty McNally - Darja Vidmanova	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Xiyu Wang - Caty McNally	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Caty McNally - Janice Tjen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

Madison Keys - Caty McNally: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide