Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 June 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Madison Keys		Hailey Baptiste

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.28	3.6
	1.25	3.95	Watch
	1.25	4.35
	1.25	3.99	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.26	3.99	Watch
	1.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.12)	3.93 ↓ (5.9)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
75.7%

Hailey Baptiste
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Madison Keys's form might have worsened.

Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hailey Baptiste's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Madison Keys - Hailey Baptiste Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 19 - 90.5%). Baptiste will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 78% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games, 2nd Set - Keys (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 Games, 1st Set - Keys (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Keys (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Keys (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Keys (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +5 Games - Baptiste (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Madison Keys will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Keys (votes: 12 - 80%). Baptiste (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 8. Baptiste is ranked WTA: 70.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Baptiste may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Keys is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Keys won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Roland Garros
31.05.25	Madison Keys - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
29.05.25	Madison Keys - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
26.05.25	Madison Keys - Daria Saville	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
10.05.25	Madison Keys - Peyton Stearns	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Madison Keys - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW
- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Roland Garros
31.05.25	Hailey Baptiste - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
29.05.25	Hailey Baptiste - Nao Hibino	2:0 ✺
27.05.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
WTA Rabat
21.05.25	Ann Li - Hailey Baptiste	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Hailey Baptiste - Camilla Rosatello	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
08.03.24	Madison Keys - Hailey Baptiste	2:1
WTA Charleston
05.04.23	Hailey Baptiste - Madison Keys	0:2
WTA Washington
30.07.19	Hailey Baptiste - Madison Keys	2:0

Madison Keys - Hailey Baptiste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide