Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday


	Madison Keys		Irina-Camelia Begu

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.78	2.13
	1.79	2.13
	1.67	2.2
	1.74	2.12	Watch
	1.75	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.57)	2.15 ↓ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
55.5%

Irina-Camelia Begu
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Irina-Camelia Begu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Madison Keys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irina-Camelia Begu than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Irina-Camelia Begu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Madison Keys - Irina Camelia Begu Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Begu will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Keys is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Begu is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Keys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Keys will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Keys won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Charleston
02.04.24	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
25.03.24	Madison Keys - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Xin Yu Wang - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
21.03.24	Diana Shnaider - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.24	Madison Keys - Yulia Putintseva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWL
- Irina-Camelia Begu
WTA Madrid
23.04.24	Irina-Camelia Begu - Linda Fruhvirtova	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.24	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Irina-Camelia Begu	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Irina-Camelia Begu - Moyuka Uchijima	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Polona Hercog - Irina-Camelia Begu	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Tara Wurth - Irina-Camelia Begu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
28.03.16	Irina-Camelia Begu - Madison Keys	0:2

Madison Keys - Irina-Camelia Begu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide