Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday


	Madison Keys		Lucia Bronzetti

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.22	4.2
	1.22	4.05	Watch
	1.25	4.21
	1.26	3.74	Watch
	1.22	4.2
	1.24	4.13	Watch
	1.22	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↑ (1.22)	4.07 ↓ (4.32)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
76.7%

Lucia Bronzetti
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lucia Bronzetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Madison Keys - Lucia Bronzetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bronzetti will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Keys (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Keys (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +5 Games - Bronzetti (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Bronzetti (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Keys (votes: 3 - 60%). Bronzetti (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 5. Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 59.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Keys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Keys is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Keys won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Charleston
03.04.25	Anna Kalinskaya - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Caroline Dolehide - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
23.03.25	Madison Keys - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Madison Keys - Elina Avanesyan	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
14.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL
- Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Madrid
22.04.25	Naomi Osaka - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
14.04.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
01.04.25	Shuai Zhang - Lucia Bronzetti	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
18.03.25	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Auckland
30.12.24	Madison Keys - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0
WTA United Cup
08.01.23	Madison Keys - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0

Madison Keys - Lucia Bronzetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide