Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cassis, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Mae Malige		Billy Harris

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.1	1.3	Watch
	3.69	1.31
	3.52	1.28	Watch
			Watch
	3.37	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.93)	1.29 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mae Malige
27.4%

Billy Harris
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mae Malige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Billy Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mae Malige than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mae Malige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billy Harris than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Billy Harris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Mae Malige - Billy Harris Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Malige will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Harris will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Harris (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Malige is ranked ATP: 534. Harris is ranked ATP: 151.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Malige may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Harris is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Billy Harris - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 68.5%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mae Malige
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Antoine Escoffier - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Benoit Paire - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Leonardo Rossi - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Henry Searle - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Francisco Rocha - Mae Malige	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLW
- Billy Harris
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Aryan Shah - Billy Harris	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Billy Harris - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Billy Harris - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 W?LLW

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