Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Livesport Prague Open (Czech Republic), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2024, Monday


	Magdalena Frech		Astra Sharma

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.52	2.62
	1.51	2.58	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.47	2.71	Watch
	1.49	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.67)	2.62 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdalena Frech
63.7%

Astra Sharma
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdalena Frech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magdalena Frech's performance.

Astra Sharma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astra Sharma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Magdalena Frech that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astra Sharma than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astra Sharma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Magdalena Frech - Astra Sharma Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Frech will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Sharma will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frech: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Frech has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sharma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frech could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Frech will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magdalena Frech
WTA Budapest
15.07.24	Magdalena Frech - Elina Avanesyan	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.24	Magdalena Frech - Beatriz Haddad Maia	0:2 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
22.06.24	Magdalena Frech - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	1:2 ✺
WTA Birmingham
17.06.24	Lucia Bronzetti - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
WTA Nottingham
14.06.24	Magdalena Frech - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Astra Sharma
WTA Palermo
19.07.24	Astra Sharma - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
17.07.24	Astra Sharma - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:1 ✺
15.07.24	Anna Blinkova - Astra Sharma	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.24	Astra Sharma - Martina Trevisan	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.07.24	Audrey Albie - Astra Sharma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLL

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