Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday


	Magdalena Frech		Clara Tauson

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.62
			Watch
	2.22	1.71
			Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.24	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.75)	1.67 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdalena Frech
42.8%

Clara Tauson
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdalena Frech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magdalena Frech's performance.

Clara Tauson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Clara Tauson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Magdalena Frech that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clara Tauson than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clara Tauson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Magdalena Frech - Clara Tauson Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Frech will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tauson will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tauson: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Magdalena Frech will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Frech is ranked WTA: 25. Tauson is ranked WTA: 23.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Frech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tauson will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Frech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Clara Tauson - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.63%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magdalena Frech
WTA Berlin
19.06.25	Magdalena Frech - Amanda Anisimova	1:2 ✺
16.06.25	Mirra Andreeva - Magdalena Frech	1:2 ✺
WTA London
10.06.25	Diana Shnaider - Magdalena Frech	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
29.05.25	Magdalena Frech - Marketa Vondrousova	1:2 ✺
27.05.25	Magdalena Frech - Ons Jabeur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWLLW
- Clara Tauson
WTA Nottingham
20.06.25	Magda Linette - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Anna Blinkova - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Kimberly Birrell - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
30.05.25	Clara Tauson - Amanda Anisimova	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Clara Tauson - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.08.21	Magdalena Frech - Clara Tauson	Frech M. retired
15.03.19	Clara Tauson - Magdalena Frech	2:1

Magdalena Frech - Clara Tauson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide