Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Mai Hontama		Ayano Shimizu

	1	2
	1.22	3.8
	1.2	4	Watch
	1.24	4.09
	1.26	3.93	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.2	4.22	Watch
	1.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)	4.01 ↑ (3.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
76.7%

Ayano Shimizu
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mai Hontama's performance.

Ayano Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayano Shimizu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayano Shimizu than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Mai Hontama - Ayano Shimizu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hontama is ranked WTA: 126. Shimizu is ranked WTA: 278.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Shimizu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hontama is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hontama won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
WTA Tokyo
18.10.24	Mai Hontama - Miyu Kato	2:0 ✺
WTA Osaka
15.10.24	Elise Mertens - Mai Hontama	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
07.10.24	Mai Hontama - Magdalena Frech	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Mai Hontama - Ana Bogdan	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Xiaodi You - Mai Hontama	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWW
- Ayano Shimizu
WTA Tokyo
18.10.24	Miho Kuramochi - Ayano Shimizu	Kuramochi M. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.09.24	Aoi Ito - Ayano Shimizu	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Ayano Shimizu - Rinon Okuwaki	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Momoko Kobori - Ayano Shimizu	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Honoka Kobayashi - Ayano Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.12.23	Ayano Shimizu - Mai Hontama	2:0
19.02.20	Mai Hontama - Ayano Shimizu	1:2
WTA Tokyo
14.09.18	Mai Hontama - Ayano Shimizu	0:2

Mai Hontama - Ayano Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide