Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Austin, TX, hard - Final

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Mai Hontama		Mary Stoiana

	1	2
			Watch
	2.68	1.41
	2.73	1.43
	2.72	1.40	Watch
	2.69	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.2)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
34.3%

Mary Stoiana
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mai Hontama's form might have worsened.

Mary Stoiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mary Stoiana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Mai Hontama - Mary Stoiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hontama is ranked WTA: 260. Stoiana is ranked WTA: 297.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Stoiana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Stoiana will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mai Hontama - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.95%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Mary Stoiana - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.05%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Anastasia Gasanova - Mai Hontama	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Mai Hontama - Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Mai Hontama - Victoria Gomez	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Mai Hontama - Lucia Peyre	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Mai Hontama - Claire Liu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Mary Stoiana
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Mary Stoiana - Ekaterina Khayrutdinova	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Mary Stoiana - Fiona Crawley	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Mary Stoiana - Kristina Liutova	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Mary Stoiana - Alyssa Ahn	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.11.25	Iva Jovic - Mary Stoiana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL

Mai Hontama - Mary Stoiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide