Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Tokyo (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday


	Mai Hontama		Talia Gibson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.55
	1.43	2.6
	1.44	2.63
	1.45	2.64
	1.5	2.5
	1.37	2.92	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.83)	2.64 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
64.8%

Talia Gibson
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mai Hontama's performance.

Talia Gibson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talia Gibson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mai Hontama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talia Gibson than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talia Gibson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Hontama has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gibson is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hontama will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
WTA Charleston
30.03.24	Mai Hontama - Gabriela Lee	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.24	Tamara Korpatsch - Mai Hontama	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Mai Hontama - Yafan Wang	0:2 ✺
11.03.24	Mai Hontama - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Rebeka Masarova - Mai Hontama	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLL?
- Talia Gibson
ITF Tournaments
03.04.24	Sayaka Ishii - Talia Gibson	2:1 ✺
27.03.24	Ya-Hsuan Lee - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
26.03.24	Mia Hasegawa - Talia Gibson	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Dominika Salkova - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Timea Babos - Talia Gibson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW

Mai Hontama - Talia Gibson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide