Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Maja Chwalinska		Simona Waltert

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.83	2.07
	1.75	1.99	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.74	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.54)	2.03 ↓ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maja Chwalinska
53.6%

Simona Waltert
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maja Chwalinska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maja Chwalinska's form might have worsened.

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Simona Waltert's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Maja Chwalinska - Simona Waltert Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chwalinska will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Waltert will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Waltert (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chwalinska is ranked WTA: 129. Waltert is ranked WTA: 92.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Waltert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Chwalinska will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chwalinska won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maja Chwalinska
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Maja Chwalinska - Kaitlin Quevedo	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Maja Chwalinska - Tamara Zidansek	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Maja Chwalinska - Tamara Zidansek	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Maja Chwalinska - Ada Kumru	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLW
- Simona Waltert
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Rebeka Masarova - Simona Waltert	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Whitney Osuigwe - Simona Waltert	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.26	Simona Waltert - Ajla Tomljanovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Simona Waltert - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.09.25	Simona Waltert - Maja Chwalinska	2:1

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