Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Mananchaya Sawangkaew		Heather Watson

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.3
	1.32	3.47
	1.31	3.17	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.3	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.36)	3.35 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mananchaya Sawangkaew
72%

Heather Watson
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mananchaya Sawangkaew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Heather Watson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mananchaya Sawangkaew than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Heather Watson Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Sawangkaew (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mananchaya Sawangkaew will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sawangkaew (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sawangkaew is ranked WTA: 175. Watson is ranked WTA: 354.

Sawangkaew is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Watson is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Watson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sawangkaew is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sawangkaew won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mananchaya Sawangkaew
ITF Tournaments
02.05.26	Emerson Jones - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Hayu Kinoshita	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Priscilla Hon - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Mika Stojsavljevic	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Lanlana Tararudee - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL
- Heather Watson
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Heather Watson - Aoi Ito	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Daria Snigur - Heather Watson	Watson H. retired ✺
19.03.26	Greetje Minnen - Heather Watson	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Pia Lovric - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Alina Korneeva - Heather Watson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 L?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Heather Watson	2:0

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