Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Montemor-o-Novo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday


	Manon Leonard		Maria Martinez Vaquero

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.33
	1.48	2.44	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.47	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 (1.48)	2.44 (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manon Leonard
62.3%

Maria Martinez Vaquero
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manon Leonard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Maria Martinez Vaquero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manon Leonard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Martinez Vaquero than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Martinez Vaquero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Leonard is ranked WTA: 322. Martinez Vaquero is ranked WTA: 446.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Martinez Vaquero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leonard will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manon Leonard
ITF Tournaments
03.06.26	Manon Leonard - Karman Kaur Thandi	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
18.05.26	Manon Leonard - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Sada Nahimana - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Manon Leonard - Robin Montgomery	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.04.26	Manon Leonard - Lucie Nguyen Tan	Leonard M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLL?
- Maria Martinez Vaquero
ITF Tournaments
02.06.26	Maria Martinez Vaquero - Valentina Losciale	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Maria Aran Teixido Garcia - Maria Martinez Vaquero	2:1 ✺
22.05.26	Eva Bennemann - Maria Martinez Vaquero	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Nellie Taraba Wallberg - Maria Martinez Vaquero	Martinez Vaquero M. Walkover ✺
19.05.26	Maria Martinez Vaquero - Vaishnavi Adkar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLL?W

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Martinez Vaquero
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Milana Ivantsiv - Maria Martinez Vaquero	✺

Manon Leonard - Maria Martinez Vaquero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide