Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Manon Leonard		Marine Szostak

	1	2
			Watch
	1.2	4	Watch
	1.22	3.98
	1.21	3.84	Watch
	1.2	4.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.34)	3.99 ↑ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manon Leonard
76.8%

Marine Szostak
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manon Leonard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manon Leonard's performance.

Marine Szostak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marine Szostak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marine Szostak than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Manon Leonard - Marine Szostak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Leonard is ranked WTA: 229. Szostak is ranked WTA: 584.

Leonard is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Szostak is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Szostak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Leonard is the team to beat.

We predict that Leonard will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manon Leonard
ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Manon Leonard - Summer Yardley	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Manon Leonard - Amelia Paszun	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Manon Leonard - Rebecca Munk Mortensen	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Manon Leonard - Eleejah Inisan	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Manon Leonard - Diae El Jardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- Marine Szostak
ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Seda Baslilar - Marine Szostak	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Marine Szostak - Sarah Van Emst	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Jenny Duerst - Marine Szostak	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Marine Szostak - Margaux Rouvroy	Szostak M. retired ✺
09.09.25	Ayana Akli - Marine Szostak	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WLW?W

Manon Leonard - Marine Szostak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide